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How to Efficiently Conduct Research Preparation for Web3 Airdrop Strategies in 2025

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The document outlines a methodology for airdrop investment research, focusing on strategic thinking and resource allocation to select high-value projects and optimize returns. Key points include: 1. **Timing for Entry**: Early participation is crucial due to the "Matthew Effect," with a recommendation to engage within the first three weeks of a project's launch to capture maximum benefits. 2. **Capital Game Rules**: Assess projects based on financing quality and ecological value, avoiding those without institutional backing or clear token models. 3. **Track Selection Strategy**: Anticipated trends for 2024-2025 include modular blockchains, AI integration, and on-chain content mining. 4. **Cost Control Model**: Smaller investors should prioritize zero-Gas projects, focus on lightweight interactions, and avoid high-risk staking pools. 5. **Market Evolution**: The airdrop market is expected to see a decrease in median returns and an increase in professional studio market share, with individual players shifting towards content mining and guaranteed airdrops. 6. **Survival Strategies**: Establish a multi-dimensional monitoring system and adopt a "631" funding allocation strategy, along with automated operational tools for efficiency. The document also lists practical tools for airdrop strategies and suggests further reading for deeper insights.

Airdrop Research Methodology: From Project Selection to Practical Strategies#

Essence of Investment Research
The essence of investment research is strategic thinking and resource allocation before action, focusing on solving the two main propositions: "how to choose high-value projects" and "how to optimize the return on investment." In the current highly competitive airdrop space, blindly following trends can no longer yield excess returns; a scientific project evaluation system must be established.

I. Timing Assessment for Entry (Capturing Early Benefits)#

Core Logic
Airdrop rules generally exhibit a "Matthew Effect," where early participants often gain exponential advantages. It is recommended to adopt the "3-week golden window" principle: if not involved within 3 weeks of project launch, strategically abandon it.

Practical Cases

  1. StarkNet: Missed the lowest tier reward due to entering 7 days late
  2. zkBridge: Missed the Odyssey NFT minting period, resulting in a 90% reduction in returns
  3. Initia: Not participating in the first testnet led to subsequent qualification being locked

II. Capital Game Rules (Tracking Institutional Consensus)#

Evaluation Dimensions

  1. Financing Quality: Projects led by top institutions (such as a16z/Binance Labs) with financing amounts >$10M have a 47% higher probability of being listed on top exchanges
  2. Ecological Niche Value: Prioritize core components of public chains (e.g., Solana-Jupiter/Sui-Walrus), as these projects generally have an airdrop premium rate >300%

Risk Control Points
Avoid "three no projects": no endorsement from well-known institutions/no clear token model/no real on-chain trading volume

III. Track Selection Strategy (Resonance of Cyclical Narratives)#

2024-2025 Trend Map

  1. Infrastructure Layer: Modular blockchains/Parallel EVM
  2. Application Layer: AI + DePIN/On-chain content mining
  3. Financial Layer: RWA protocols/Derivatives DEX

New Paradigm of Content Mining

  • Creation Incentives: High-quality content can be converted into on-chain assets
  • Social Mining: Interaction behaviors (likes/shares) generate income
  • Knowledge Monetization: Research reports can be minted as NFT trades

IV. Cost Control Model (ROI Optimization Guide)#

Strategies for Small Capital Players

  1. Prioritize zero Gas projects: Choose L2 ecosystems like Arbitrum/zkSync
  2. Time for space: Focus on lightweight interactions that do not require staking
  3. Risk avoidance: Stay away from high TVL staking pools (contract risk >35%)

High-Risk Signal Identification

  • Requires large cross-chain staking
  • Daily check-in tasks
  • Unaudited smart contracts

Industry Evolution and Survival Strategies#

2024 Airdrop Market Characteristics

  • Median return rate decreased to 12.7% (down from 38.4% in 2023)
  • Market share of professional studios increased to 67%
  • Direction for individual players: KOL content mining/Exchange certainty airdrops

Future Survival Rules

  1. Establish a multi-dimensional monitoring system (financing dynamics/on-chain data/community heat)
  2. Adopt "631" fund allocation: 60% top projects/30% potential projects/10% experimental projects
  3. Build an automated operation matrix (bulk account management/automated interaction scripts)

🛠️ Airdrop Practical Toolbox#

1️⃣ Axiom On-chain Sniper Direct to Official Website
2️⃣ GMGN Alpha Detector Precise Capture
3️⃣ DeBot Smart Strategy Library Automation Tool
4️⃣ MoreLogin Multi-Account Solution Safe Isolation

In-depth Reading#

“Airdrop Hunter Survival Guide: From Beginner to Professional”
“Cryptocurrency Market Cycle Law: How to Seize the Next Hundredfold Opportunity”

(This article's strategy framework is summarized from the practical experience of @Beijing Teacher)

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